Published November 1, 2026 in Market Update

More homes came up for sale, but Primary market still moved fast

By Spencer Hsu
Real estate, Primary market

Here is the number that changes everything for sellers right now. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 36 homes for sale in ZIP 94306 during the three months ending August 31, 2026. That is up 89.5% from the same months in 2025. More competition from other listings is real. But the median days on market was still just 14. Well-priced homes are not sitting.

Rise in homes for sale, year over year (ZIP 94306)
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

That jump in supply is not just a local thing. Nationally, Realtor.com reported active inventory was up 8.0% year over year. Primary market's 89.5% gain, counted by the Real Estate Data Aggregator, is far steeper than that national figure. Buyers here have more to look at than they did a year ago.

Speed: still the story

The Real Estate Data Aggregator put the median days on market in ZIP 94306 at 14 days for the three months ending August 31, 2026. That is 3 days longer than the same period in 2025, a small shift. Compare that with Realtor.com's national median of 64 days for the week ending October 24, 2026. Primary market is moving at a different pace entirely.

Median days on market: Primary market vs. U.S.
ZIP 94306 (Real Estate Data Aggregator)14 daysU.S. median (Realtor.com)64 days
Three months ending August 31, 2026 for ZIP 94306. Week ending October 24, 2026 for the U.S. figure from Realtor.com.

Prices held up, with a little give on overbids

The Real Estate Data Aggregator put the median sale price in ZIP 94306 at $3,265,000 for the three months ending August 31, 2026. That is up 3.2% from the same months in 2025. Prices did not dip. But the average sale-to-list ratio came in at 104.8%, down 3.9 points from a year before. Buyers are still paying over asking, just not as far over.

ZIP 94306, three months ending August 31, 2026
Median sale price
Up 3.2% year over year
Sale-to-list ratio
Down 3.9 points year over year
Homes sold above list
Down 3.7 points year over year
Median days on market
3 days longer than a year ago
Months of supply
Up 1.1 months year over year
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

The Real Estate Data Aggregator also counted 53 homes sold in ZIP 94306 during the period, down 8.6% from a year before. Pending sales came in at 49, down 12.5%. Not every home found a buyer. But 56.6% of the homes that did sell went above list price. That is still more than half.

Rates are adding weight nationally

Freddie Mac put the average 30-year fixed rate at 7.24% as of October 29, 2026. The 15-year averaged 6.60% the same week. Realtor.com noted that rates climbed above 7% for the first time since January 2025. That backdrop shapes how buyers think about what they can spend, here and everywhere.

Current mortgage rates (Freddie Mac, October 29, 2026)
30-year fixed7.2%15-year fixed6.6%
Source: Freddie Mac, as of October 29, 2026.
Source: Freddie Mac, read Nov 1, 2026

The National Association of Realtors reported existing-home sales across the U.S. reached 3.99 million units in September 2026. National inventory rose to 1.60 million homes. U.S. existing-home prices were up 1.3% in September 2026. Primary market's 3.2% price gain, counted by the Real Estate Data Aggregator, ran ahead of that national pace.

What this means if you own here

More listings means buyers have choices they did not have a year ago. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 65 new listings in ZIP 94306 during the three months ending August 31, 2026, up 8.3% from 2025. The share of homes that went under contract within two weeks dropped 17.1 points to 49%. Not every home is moving in days anymore. Price and condition still matter a lot.

Share of ZIP 94306 homes under contract within two weeks
51% Took longer 49% Under contract within two weeks51% Took longer
Three months ending August 31, 2026. Real Estate Data Aggregator.
In short
  1. Inventory in ZIP 94306 nearly doubled year over year, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator, and the three months ending August 31, 2026 showed a little more give on overbids.
  2. But 14 median days on market and a 104.8% sale-to-list ratio say this is still a fast, competitive place to sell.
  3. One street can read very differently from the whole ZIP code.

Your next step

(408) 223-5493

Text me your address and I will send back how your Primary market home compares with what actually sold nearby during the three months ending August 31, 2026. Takes a day, costs nothing.

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Where these numbers came from
Spencer Hsu
eXp Realty · (408) 223-5493
Privacy policyTerms of useDo not sell or share my informationAccessibility statementFair housing notice
Spencer Hsu is a licensed real estate agent with eXp Realty. Market numbers come from MLS records and are believed accurate but not guaranteed. Nothing on this site is an appraisal or a promise of value. If your home is already listed with another broker, this is not a solicitation.
© 2026 Spencer Hsu · eXp RealtyEQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY